The range of total returns (unadjusted for differential FX rates) for some key
assets categories since 2009 via Goldman Sachs Research:
The above highlights the pivot toward financial assets inflation under the
tidal wave of Quantitative Easing programmes by the major Central Banks. The
financial sector repression is taking the bite out of the consumer / household
finances through widening profit margins, reflective of the economy's move
toward higher financial intensity of output. Put differently, the CPI gap to
corporate costs inflation is widening, and with it, the asset price inflation
is drifting toward financial assets:
This is the 'beggar-thy-household' economy, folks. Not surprisingly, while the
proportion of total population classifiable as middle-class might be
stabilising (after a massive decline from the 1970s and 1980s levels):
Incomes of the middle class are stagnant (and for lower earners,
falling):
And post-QE squeeze (higher interest rates and higher cost of credit
intermediation) is coming for the already stretched households. Any wonder that
political populism/opportunism is also on the rise?